35>24

X to play (4 2)
 +24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
 | X     O        O |   |     O           X |
 | X     O        O |   |     O           X |
 |                O |   |                 X | S
 |                O |   |                 X | n
 |                  |   |                 X | o
 |                  |BAR|                   | w
 |                X |   |                 O | i
 |                X |   |                 O | e
 |                X |   |     X           O |
 | O              X |   |     X           O |
 | O              X |   |     X           O |
 +-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
 Pipcount  X: 167  O: 159  X-O: 0-0/Money (1)
 CubeValue:  1
 1. 3  8/4 6/4                            Eq.: -0.002
              1.0%  16.2%  49.7%    50.3%  15.9%   0.9%
  Rollout settings:
                 Truncated rollout, depth 9,
                 360 games (equiv. 131607 games),
                 played 3-ply (precise),
                 random seed, without race database.

Note:Snowie4によると、ポストクロフォードでフリードロップがある場合、35>24の後はテイクになります。
O on rollのキューブアクションは以下の通り。

Match to 2. Score X-O: 1-0
 O on roll, cube action
 +-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
 | X     O        O |   |     O           X |
 | X     O        O |   |     O           X |
 |                O |   |                 X | S
 |                O |   |                 X | n
 |                  |   |                 X | o
 |                  |BAR|                   | w
 |                  |   |                 O | i
 |                X |   |                 O | e
 |                X |   |                 O |
 | O        X     X |   |     X           O |
 | O        X     X |   |     X           O |
 +24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
 Pipcount  X: 161  O: 159  X-O: 1-0/2 (1)
 CubeValue:  1
Rollout      Money equity: -0.002
     1.0%  16.2%  49.7%    50.3%  15.9%   0.9%
     95% confidence interval:
        - money cubeless eq.: -0.002 ア0.007.
     Rollout settings:
        Truncated rollout, depth 9,
        360 games (equiv. 131607 games),
        played 3-ply (precise),
        random seed, without race database.
      1.  Double, take      0.989  
      2.  No double         0.905  (-0.083)
      3.  Double, pass      1.000  (+0.011)
Proper cube action: Double, take     


07/09/08追記
GNUで深くまわした結果は以下の通り。
take/pass のボーダーと考えておくのが適当か

Cube analysis
Rollout cubeless equity +0.173 (Money: +0.010)

Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take     +0.992
2. Double, pass     +1.000 ( +0.008)
3. No double      +0.919 ( -0.073)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
 0.499 0.185 0.026 - 0.501 0.175 0.025 CL +0.173 CF +0.919
[0.011 0.007 0.003 - 0.011 0.006 0.003 CL  0.005 CF  0.041]
Player pescini owns 2-cube:
 0.498 0.216 0.048 - 0.502 0.197 0.040 CL +0.992 CF +0.992
[0.002 0.006 0.004 - 0.002 0.006 0.005 CL  0.009 CF  0.009]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070332803 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 1.96 (min. 288 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

タグ:

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最終更新:2007年09月09日 08:28
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